piranha: red origami crane (Default)
[personal profile] piranha
hurricane rita.

*sigh*.

there's a new study linking growing strength of hurricanes to increase in ocean temperature. a trend (if it is indeed a global trend, which is as yet debateable) to keep an eye on.

on 2005-09-19 15:26 (UTC)
Posted by [identity profile] king-tirian.livejournal.com
Oi. Last year at this time we were back at Lisa and I was concerned that we'd never get to Matthew. This year we're up to the R's

I'd be inititally wary of reading too much into that study. Contrast with http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2484.htm, which says that the 1970-1994 was a well-studied light period following heavy Atlantic storm activity in the 50's and 60's. I guess the study's authors decided that there was more oomph in just highlighting a trough-to-peak timeframe and expecting the readers to extrapolate into the future from there. The records at the moment are 21 storms in 1933, 12 hurricanes in 1969, and right "major hurricanes" in 1950, and if we don't know the ocean temperatures during those times then we should probably sit on our hands. One is reminded of the joke of the man who dropped his watch then looked for it on the other side of the street because the light was better there.

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